Friday, November 30, 2018 8:17 am  Mandraselvan Ragupathy  0  20k 

VEDIC ASTRO-METEOROLOGY

2019 ANNUAL WEATHER FORECAST FOR INDIAN SUB-CONTINENT

(Prepared during August, 2017)

MAIN POINTS:

A) 2019 will begin with widespread light/moderate rainfall and the night time temperatures will be slightly above normal,

(B) Emergence of a powerful Negative Indian ocean dipole is forecast from the beginning of February, 2019 till the last week of March, 2019. During the above period damages to life and property is forecast due to “Spate of Thunderstorms, Cyclones, Typhoons, Blizzards, Powerful tornadoes (Severe Landslides/Avalanches are also forecast for the above period),

(C) Excellent Pre-Monsoon, SEVERE FLOODING due to WIDESPREAD Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall/SNOWFALL  is forecast between the last week of March 2019 and the third week of May, 2019,

(D) Severe Summer with very HIGH temperatures is forecast between the third week of May, 2019 and the third week of July, 2019. During the above period catastrophic damages to life and property is forecast due to “Spate of Cloudbursts (Tsunami from Heaven?), Thunderstorms, Cyclones, Typhoons, Powerful tornadoes.  WARNING ISSUED for VERY HIGH ACTIVITY OF KILLER LIGHTING during the above period and till middle of September, 2019

(E) Southwest monsoon will set between 4^th June and 10^th June 2019, MONSOON WILL BE VERY WEAK & SCANTY till the third week of July, 2019,

(F) Southwest Monsoon will be stretched till end of October, 2019 but will be DEFICIT well below 50 – 65% comparable to 2009 and

(G) Northeast Monsoon will set around the second week of November, 2019.  Northeast Monsoon for year 2019 also will be DEFICIT.  At the yearend observations based meteorologist will declare 2019 as EL NINO year and pass the blame on GLOBAL WARMING.

in my 2018 Forecast owing to ‘Early hot summer and draught conditions”; I confidently recommended educational institutions to conduct exams before the end of March, 2018 and declare vacations.

For 2019 also I am confident to recommend educational institutions to conduct exams before the end of March, 2019 and declare vacations owing “HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY PRE-MONSOON RAINFALL”

From the second-half of 2019, among many cities BANGALORE and CHENNAI will face “ACUTE WATER SHORTAGE”. Coupled with the scanty 2019 monsoons these cities will be struggling to avoid “DAY ZERO CRISIS” during the second half of 2019 and during the early Summer of 2020 (in spite of rainfall from the second week of January, 2020 till the end of February, 2020)  

VEDIC METEOROLOGY ALONE can issue SUCH ADVANCED WARNING and has given sufficient time for TAMILNADU & KARNATAKA GOVERNMENTS to INITIATE ACTION PLAN to manoeuvre the above crisis.                                                                            

Detailed forecast:

(A)Winter will be SEVERE, HARSH with Heavy snowfall, Blizzards and EXTENDED over North and Northwest states. But it will be too short over the southern peninsular India.  Light to moderate rainfall is forecast over South Tamilnadu and South Kerala from the beginning of 2019 till the second week of February. Northwestern states bordering Pakistan will experience moderate to heavy rainfall.

Important Dates of Peak rainfall:

1. There will be cyclone/Localised Thunderstorm between 29^th December, 2018 and 1^st January, 2019. The residual depression of the cyclone will yield moderate to heavy rainfall till 7^th January, 2019. During the above period Severe Blizzard will dump heavy to Very heavy snowfall. Jammu & Kashmir, NW Punjab, North Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Uttaranchal and the sub Himalayan region will suffer.
2. Between 13^th January and 16^th January,2019, (Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall/
3. Between 19^th January, and 21st January, 2019, Heavy to Very Heavy snowfall & Avalanche),
4. Between 27^th January and 7^th February, 2019, a persistent low pressure area in the Bay of Bengal will yield Heavy to Very heavy rainfall between 27^th & 29^th January, 2019. This system will become a depression around 30^th January, 2019, and will become a Tropical Cyclone. This system will dump Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall between 2^nd February & 5^th  February, 2019 before crossing the coast around 6th February, 2019. (Cyclone may cut through northern SriLanka enter Gulf of Mannar and will cross the coast close to Tuticorin).

During the same period Northwest and Northern states will experience Heavy to Very Heavy snowfall and hail/Avalanche

(B) Emergence of a powerful Negative Indian ocean dipole is forecast from the beginning of February, 2019 till the last week of March, 2019. The southern states, East and Northeastern states will experience summerlike very high temperatures.  During the above period “Spate of Cyclones, Typhoons, Blizzards, Powerful tornadoes and Severe Landslides are forecast.  ISOLATED PLACES will experience Squally winds with Thunderstorms.

Important dates for precautionary measures:

1. Between 12^th February and 15^th February, 2019 (Squally winds with Thunderstorms); & also between 16^th, February and 20^th February, 2019 (Cyclone may cut through northern SriLanka & will cross the coast between Raameshwaram and Nagapattinam). During the above period heavy to very heavy snowfall, Blizzards and avalanches are forecast for the north.
2. Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall/snowfall(Squally winds with Thunderstorms) at isolated places Between 23^rd February, and 27^th February, 2019,(Severe snowfall, Blizzards & Avalanches)
3. Another Tropical cyclone is possible between 1^st march, 2019 and 7^th March, 2019. This system will cross the coast between Kodikkarai and Kaaraikkal around 7^th March, and will continue to dump Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall till 9^th March, 2019. Landslides are forecast during the above periods. During the above period Severe Blizzard will dump heavy to Very heavy snowfall. and
4. Another deep depression/Tropical cyclone is possible between 11^th March, 2019 and 16^th March, 2019. This system will swing around and will become weak nearing the coast between Nagapattinam and Cuddalore. Flooding & Landslides due to Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall will upset normal life between 13^th & 16^th March, 2019 and 19^th – 20^th March, 2019.  During the above period heavy to very heavy snowfall and avalanches are forecast for the north.

(C) Excellent Pre-Monsoon rainfall is forecast from the third week of March, 2019 till the third week of May, 2019.  During this period Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast for the southern states of India along with East and Northeastern states of India. Many areas will suffer SEVERE FLOODING DUE TO THE ABOVE HEAVY RAINFALL. Also during the above period northern India will experience Heavy to Very Heavy snowfall.  Very High risks of Landslides/Avalanches are forecast till the end of March, 2019.

Important dates for precautionary measures:  

1. Between 22^nd March and 24^th March, 2019,(Moderate to Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall)
2. Between 27^th March and 30^th March, 2019, (Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall, Landslides/Avalanches)
3. Between 3^rd April and 6^th April, 2019, (Flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall)
4. Between 11^th April and 15^th April, 2019, (Severe Flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall) (Terrestrial Tsunami?)
5. Between 17^th April and 19^th April, 2019. (Severe Flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall, Avalanches) (Terrestrial Tsunami?)
6. Between 25^th April and 28^th April, 2019, (Severe Flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall) (Terrestrial Tsunami?)
7. Between 3^rd May and 6^th May, 2019, (Severe Flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall; Landslides/Avalanches) (Terrestrial Tsunami?)
8. On 9^th May, 2019 and between 11^th May and 14^th May, 2019, (Severe Flooding due to Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall/Snowfall; Landslides/Avalanches) (Terrestrial Tsunami?)

(D & E)  With the change in the weather pattern Emergence of VERY SEVERE SUMMER is forecast for the period between the third week of May, 2019 and the third week of July, 2019. Southwest Monsoon will be DEFICIT DURING THE ABOVE PERIOD. (Comparable to 2009 monsoon)   Observations based meteorologist will announce emergence of EL Nino.

During the above period damages to life and property at ISOLATED PLACES are forecast due to “Spate of Cloudbursts, Thunderstorms, Cyclones, Typhoons, Powerful tornadoes and Flash Floods. WARNING ISSUED for VERY HIGH ACTIVITY OF KILLER LIGHTING & LANDSLIDES during the above period and till middle of September, 2019. While the southern states remain hot and dry; the East and Northeast states of India will suffer the most.

Important dates for precautionary measures:

1. Around 19^th May, 2019 a low pressure will form in the Bay of Bengal. This system will become DEEP DEPRESSION and will cross the coast as SUPER CYCLONE AROUND 22^nd May, 2019. This cyclone will cross the coast between North Orissa and Bangladesh. Damages to Life and property will be more due to Cyclonic Storm than the rainfall.
2. Between 26^th May and 28^th May, 2019, (Tornadoes & Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall)
3. CLOUDBURST / POWERFUL LOCALISED STORM/TORNADOES with Killer lightning are forecast between (a) 1st and 2nd June, (b) 5^th and 6th June, 2019; Damages to life and property due to FLASH FLOODS and & LANDSLIDES are warned. A VERY WEAK SOUTHWEST MONSOON will set around 6^th June, 2019.

SOUTHWEST MONSOON FOR THE YEAR 2019 WILL BE HIGHLY DEFICIT AND WIDESPREAD DROUGHT WILL UPSET FARMING.  GOVERNMENT SHOULD TAKE AN EARLY BRAVE CALL TO DECLARE ‘FARM HOLIDAY’ FOR FARMERS WHO DEPEND ON RAINWATER FOR THE CULTIVATIONS. THESE FARMERS SHOULD BE ACCOMMODATED IN INFRASTRUCTURE/OTHER SUITABLE EMPLOYMENTS.

1. CLOUDBURST or LOCALISED STORM with Killer lightning is forecast between 10^th June and 12^th June, 2019, (Tornadoes. Landslides & Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall)
2. Multiple incidents of  CLOUDBURST or LOCALISED STORM with Killer lightning are forecast between 16^th June, 2019 and 21^st, June, 2019,
3. Look for a SUPER CYCLONE in the ARABIAN SEA between 24th June and 3^rd July, 2019. This cyclone will cross the coast between Dwaraka in Gujarat and Gwadar in Pakistan around 2^nd July, 2019. Isolated Flooding, Life threatening Cyclonic storm coupled with Killer lightning could inflict CATOSTROPHIC DAMAGES to life and property. Advance disaster preventive measures can reduce damages to life and property.
4. Look for spate of Tornadoes, Killer Lightning in the west and Northwest states between 8^th July, 2019 and 10^th July, 2019. WARNINGS issued for CLOUDBURST and LANDSLIDES during the above period.
5. Look for spate of Tornadoes, Killer Lightning in the west and Northwest states between 15^th July, 2019 and 17^th July, 2019. WARNINGS issued for CLOUDBURST and LANDSLIDES during the above period.
6. Look for SUPER CYCLONES between 20^th July, 2019 and 3^rd August, 2019. During this period CYCLONES are forecast both in the ARABIAN SEA and in the BAY OF BENGAL.  The Cyclone in the Arabian Sea will be powerful from 21^st July, 2019 and likely to drift away from the Indian Sub-continent. This system will cross the coast around 26^th July, 2019 between Mandvi in Gujarat and Gwadar in Pakistan.   Isolated Flooding, Life threatening CYCLONIC STORM, CLOUDBURST coupled with KILLER LIGHTNING will inflict FLASH FLOODS and LANDSLIDES resulting in CATOSTROPHIC DAMAGES to life and property.
7. A depression in the Bay of Bengal from 24^th July, 2019 will swing/move on and off the coast between north Orissa, Bangladesh and Burma before crossing the coast of Bangladesh as a depression around 2^nd August, 2019. CATASTROPHIC DAMAGES to life & property is forecast due to SEVERE FLOODING, LANDSLIDES & LIGHTNING during the entire period.

(F) From the first week of August, 2019 till the first week of September, 2019 the condition will continue to be HOT and DRY though the sky remains highly OVERCAST. Thunderstorms/cloudbursts and Scattered rainfall at Isolated places is forecast for the above period. Precautionary measures should be in place to prevent loss of life and property due to FLASHFLOODS and KILLER LIGHTNINGS. North, Northeast, East and Central states will suffer the most. (Above 18 degree latitude)   

Important dates for precautionary measures:

1. Between 7^th August and 10^th August, 2019 (CLOUDBURST, KILLER LIGHTNING), and between 12^th August and 15^th August, 2019 (Thunderstorm, Killer lightning,)                                                                                                                                                                            
2. Look for a SEVERE CYCLONE in the BAY OF BENGAL (or Localised storm in the North – Northeast Plains) between 20^th August and 31^st August, 2019. Till 22^nd August this system will be dry causing less rainfall. But between 23^rd August and 25th August, 2019 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL is forecast. This cyclone will cross the coast between Orissa and Bangladesh around 27^th August, 2019 and will continue to travel till 31^st August, 2019.  Between 27^th August & 31^st August, 2019 Life threatening CYCLONIC STORM, CLOUDBURST coupled with KILLER LIGHTNING will inflict FLASH FLOODS and LANDSLIDES resulting in CATOSTROPHIC DAMAGES to life and property. (Locations same as above)
3. Another SEVERE CYCLONE/CLOUDBURST is forecast between 4^th September, 2019 and 9^th September, 2019. This system will be weak at the time of crossing the coast around 7th September, 2019. HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL with Life threatening CYCLONIC STORM, CLOUDBURST coupled with KILLER LIGHTNING will inflict FLASH FLOODS and LANDSLIDES resulting in CATOSTROPHIC DAMAGES to life and property.,
4. Between 10^th September and till the end of September, 2019 Thunderstorms with fairly widespread Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall is forecast. Western & interior parts of the southern states and the region below Vindhya mountain range will get more benefits than the other states.

Important dates for precautionary measures:

(i) Between 12^th & 14^th September, 2019,

(ii) Between 16^th & 18^th September, 2019 and

(iii) Between 21^st & 24^th September, 2019.

Throughout the month of October, 2019 and till the first week of November, 2019 “Weather will remain HOT and MOSTLY DRY, even though the sky remains HIGHLY OVERCAST”. Thunderstorms/cloudbursts and Scattered rainfall at Isolated places is forecast for the above period.   Precautionary measures should be in place to prevent loss of life and property due to FLASHFLOODS, LANDSLIDES and KILLER LIGHTNINGS. Southern States (west coasts,) Maharashtra and Gujarat will experience scattered rainfall at isolated places.

Important dates for precautionary measures:

1)  Between 5^th October and 7^th October, 2019,

2)  Between 9th October and 13^th October, 2019

3)  Between 20^th and 22^nd October, 2019,

4)  Between 26^th October and 29^th October, 2019, Severe Landslide/mine disaster is forecast

around 1^st and 2^nd November, 2019; 

Northeast monsoon will set around 3^rd November, 2019.

Warning issued for FLASH FLOODS and LANDSLIDES resulting in CATOSTROPHIC DAMAGES to life and property due to THUNDERSTORM, CLOUDBURST coupled with KILLER LIGHTNING during the period forecast below.

Look for a SEVERE CYCLONE between 3^rd November, 2019 and 12th November, 2019.  This system will dump HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL (CLOUDBURST) between 4^th November and 8^th November, 2019 before crossing the coast on 11^th November, 2019.  This cyclone will be moving from the WEST TO EAST cutting through the GULF OF MANNAR affecting Southern Districts of TamilNadu, Kerala and Sri Lanka.

The period between the second week of November, 2019 and 3^rd week of January, 2020 will experience SQUALLY WINDS with THUNDERSTORMS/CLOUDBURSTS.  BEWARE OF KILLER LIGHTNING and LANDSLIDES till the 3^rd week of December, 2019. During the above period TWO CYCLONES are POSSIBLE.                                                                              

Important dates for precautionary measures:

1) Between 19^th November and 21^st November, 2019 (Localised Storm, Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall and Landslides),

2) Look for a Tropical Cyclone between 24^th November and 29^th November, 2019.  This system will dump heavy to Very Rainfall before crossing the coast between Rameswaram and Kodikarai around 27^th November, 2019.  Killer Lightning and Landslides are warned.

3) Between 3^rd December and 6^th December, 2019 (Localised Storm, Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall and Landslides),

4) Look for a SEVERE CYCLONE between 9^th December and 16^th December, 2019.  This system will cut through northern SriLanka and will cross the coast between Kanniyakumari and Rameswaram around 16^th December, 2019.  Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall coupled with Cyclonic Storm will cause CATOSTROPHIC DAMAGES to life and property.  This system will continue to dump heavy to very heavy rainfall till 21^st of December, 2019.

5) The period between the last week of December, 2019 and the third week of January, 2020 will experience SQUALLY WINDS with THUNDERSTORMS at Isolated places.

IMPORTANT ESSENCE OF “2019 WEATHER FORECAST”:

Our Indian Sub-continent will experience POOREST MONSOONS during 2019. The excellent pre-monsoon rainfall will not be sufficient for sustained farm activities. The drought conditions all over the country will manifold into major drinking water scarcity and will upset normal life till May, 2020.  With this ADVANCED FORECASTS by VEDIC METEOROLOGY government should aggressively initiate massive PRECAUTIONARY MEASURES to make alternative arrangements to provide drinking water and also effectively employ the farmers in distress.

I conclude this forecast with “A HAPPY NOTE” that IN 2020 & 2021 the INDIAN SUB-CONTINENT and the WORLD WILL HAVE EXCELLENT MONSOONS.

RAMACHANDRAN,

Ramachandran, Vedic Meteorologist

Astro-Meteorologist.
sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com    https://www.facebook.com/ramachandran.seshadri