Monday, March 13, 2017 2:39 pm  Mandraselvan Ragupathy  0  12k 

WEATHER FORECAST – 2017 PART –II (For the period between 24th July, 2017 and 10^th January, 2018)

(Also glimpses into 2018/19 Weather forecast)

The Period between 24^th July ‘17 and 16^th August ’17 will be very hot and humid. During this period isolated places will experience squally winds with thunderstorms (Very high lightning and thunder activity) with moderate to heavy rainfall. Interior western states, North, Northwest states, Interior & East Karnataka, Telangana, interior Andhra and Tamilnadu are likely to experience this activity.

Important dates:  

1. Between 30^th July, 2017 and 1^st August, 2017,
2. Between 5^th August, 2017 and 10^th August, 2017
3. Between 14^th August, 2017 and 16^th August, 2017

Between 17^th August, 2017 and 31^st August, 2017 widespread rainfall is forecast. Central Indian states and Northwest states will get the best rainfall compared to the rest of the country.

Important dates: 

A well marked low pressure system will give rainfall initially. It will become a deep depression around 23^rd August, 2017 and become a Cyclone around 25^th August, 2017. This Cyclone will dump heavy to very heavy rainfall,  oscillate close to the coast between Orissa and Bangladesh before crossing the coast around 31^st August, 2017.

Good monsoon activity is forecast during the period between 1^st September, 2017 and 12^th October, 2017.  Widespread rainfall is forecast with Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall at isolated places.

Important dates: (Heavy to Very Heavy rainfall)

1. Between 2^nd September, 2017 and  6^th September, 2017
2. Between 11^th September, 2017 and 14^th September, 2017
3. Between 16^th September, 2017 and 20^th September, 2017
4. Between 23^rd September, 2017 and 29^th September, 2017 and
5. Between 3^rd October, 2017 and 5^th October, 2017.

There could be two Cyclones between 7^th October, 2017 and 12^th October, 2017.

• The first one will give widespread rainfall before crossing the coast around 11^th October, 2017. ( between Mahabalipuram and Ongole)  and
• The second Cyclone between 15^th October, 2017 and 20^th October, 2017 will be comparatively dry in terms of rainfall but with devastating winds will cause more damages before crossing the coast between Cuddalore & Nellore around 18^th October, 2017.

Squally winds with thunderstorms are forecast for the period between 21^st October, 2017 and 8^th December, 2017 with moderate to heavy rainfall at isolated places. Northeast Monsoon will set around 26^th October, 2017.

Between 8^th November, 2017 and 9^th December, 2017 below normal temperatures will be recorded.

Important dates;

• Between 27^th October, 2017 and 30^th October, 2017
• Between 3^rd November, 2017 and 7^th November, 2017
• Between 10^th November, 2017 and 12^th November, 2017
• Between 16^th November, 2017 and 19^th November, 2017
• Between 22^nd November, 2017 and 28^th November, 2017 and
• Between 2^nd December, 2017 and 6^th December, 2017.

Moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast for the period between 9^th December, 2017 and 10^th January, 2018.

Important dates:

• Look for a depression in the Bay of Bengal between 7^th December, 2017 and 13^th December, 2017. This system will give widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall to the central and south Tamilnadu. North Tamilnadu can expect moderate rainfall only. This depression will weaken after crossing the coast around 9^th December, 2017 between Kodikarai and Cuddalore.
• Between 15^th December, 2017 and 18^th December, 2017
• Between 26^th December, 2017 and 30^th December, 2017
• 1^st January, 2018 and 5^th January, 2018  and
• Between 7^th January, 2018 and 10^th January, 2018 (Cyclone in south Indian Ocean)

The Northeast monsoon for 2017 could be indifferent and insufficient, but I request people of south India especially Tamilnadu that from March, 2017 ‘The excess pre-monsoon rainfall and a Good southwest monsoon rainfall should be effectively saved and used for the rest of the year.

Moreover like 2017, in 2018 also a short burst of rainfall during last week of January, 2018 and early rainfall from the third week of February2018 till first week of April, 2018 will be of some relief. But very HARSH summer is forecast for the period between 11^th April, 2018 and the last week of June, 2018.

The south west monsoon for the year 2018 will begin sluggishly during 3^rd week of June, 2018.  But from the last week of June, 2018 rapid changes will take place and the southwest monsoon will be very aggressive and widespread to give ‘The Best rainfall till 3^rd week of August, 2018.

From the last week of August, 2018 till last week of September, 2018 more cyclone related weather condition will prevail.  From first week of October, 2018 till end of January, 2019 unending rainfall will cause immense hardship to the southern states in particular Tamilnadu.

In order to plan disaster management and to reduce damages due to cyclone and floods my detailed Weather forecast for the Year 2018/19 will be released before 30^th April, 2017.  I am confident this will definitely help the government as well the people to realize the advantage of VEDIC METEOROLOGY.

RAMACHANDRAN, 
Astro-Meteorologist.
Email:- sesh.ramachandran@gmail.com